Aurélien Goutsmedt

Aurélien Goutsmedt

Chargé de Recherche FNRS

UCLouvain, ISPOLE

Je suis historien de l’économie et je travaille sur l’histoire de la macroéconomie, de l’expertise économique et des politiques économiques depuis la stagflation des années 1970, notamment dans les banques centrales. Je développe également des outils quantitatifs à l’appui de mes travaux de recherche.

Sur ce site, vous trouverez mes publications, mes cours ainsi que mes projets en cours.

Intérêts
  • Histoire de la discipline économique
  • Macroéconomie
  • Economie politique
  • Expertise économique
  • Stagflation & Chocs pétroliers
  • R-stats
  • Bibliométrie
Formation

  • Doctorat en Economie, 2017

    Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

  • Master 2 Economie et Sciences Humaines, 2013

    Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

Billets récents

Dernière mise à jour le Feb 10, 2022 16 min de lecture Bibliometrics, Network Analysis, R Tutorials
Extracting and Cleaning Bibliometric Data with R (2)
Extracting and Cleaning Bibliometric Data with R (2)

In this post, you will learn how to extract data from Dimensions website and how to clean them. These data allow you to build bibliographic networks.

Dernière mise à jour le Feb 10, 2022 35 min de lecture Bibliometrics, Network Analysis, R Tutorials
Extracting and Cleaning Bibliometric Data with R (1)
Extracting and Cleaning Bibliometric Data with R (1)

In this post, you will learn how to extract data from Scopus website or with Scopus APIs and how to clean the data extracted from Scopus website. These data allow you to build bibliographic networks.

Dernière mise à jour le Jan 4, 2022 19 min de lecture Bibliometrics, R Package, Network Analysis
A Road Map for historians of economics to learn R
A Road Map for historians of economics to learn R

When the temptation is growing in you to try your hand at quantitative methods, the first question is likely to be “but how can I do, and which tools should I learn to use?” I give here some arguments to engage yourself in learning R and then present different tutorials and R packages useful for historians of economics.

Dernière mise à jour le May 18, 2021 3 min de lecture Bibliometrics, R Package
Release of biblionetwork 0.1.0
Release of biblionetwork 0.1.0

I am very pleased to announce the initial release of biblionetwork to CRAN! biblionetwork is designed to build easily and quickly large list of edges for bibliometric networks. You can identify the edges for different types of network (bibliometric coupling or co-citation, or co-authorship networks) and use different methods to calculate the weights of edges.

Dernière mise à jour le Jan 4, 2022 19 min de lecture Bibliometrics, History of Macroeconomics
Exploring Stagflation Explanations with Interactive Networks
Exploring Stagflation Explanations with Interactive Networks

This post comes back to my article “From the Stagflation to the Great Inflation” and proposes to navigate in the stagflation dataset I have built. Here, you can play interactively with the coupling and cocitation networks of my article.

Projet Projet

Projets

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Tout Histoire de la macroéconomie Projet de recherche R Paquets R
Learning Bibliometrics
A github repository that gathers different scripts to extract (mannually or via APIs) and then clean bibliometric data.
Learning Bibliometrics
The Scientific and the Political: Modelling and Forecasting the Economy in Policymaking Institutions
The objective of the project is to map the different channels through which economics influences the Bank and to understand how economic ideas impact (or do not impact) policy-making
The Scientific and the Political: Modelling and Forecasting the Economy in Policymaking Institutions
ESHS Symposium proposal: “The Scientization of Central Banks”
In the last decades, central banks have become crucial institutions in the management of many countries’ economies. This evolution has been accompanied by a rising ‘scientization’ of central banks. Scientization can designate different dynamics:
ESHS Symposium proposal: “The Scientization of Central Banks”
Mapping Macroeconomics
Building an online interactive platform displaying bibliometric data on a large set of macroeconomic articles. Our goal is to settle the basis for a broad and long-run project on the history of macroeconomics, as well as to bring to historians tools to run quantitative inquiries to support their own research work.
Code
Mapping Macroeconomics
biblionetwork
The biblionetwork package provides functions to create fastly bibliometric networks like bibliographic coupling network, co-citation network and co-authorship network.
biblionetwork
Excavating the Academia/Policy Pipeline - Economic Analysis at the Bank of England Pre and Post-Crisis
The objective of the project is to map the different channels through which economics influences the Bank and to understand how economic ideas impact (or do not impact) policy-making
Excavating the Academia/Policy Pipeline - Economic Analysis at the Bank of England Pre and Post-Crisis
networkflow
The networkflow package proposes functions to make it easier and quicker to work on networks. It mainly targets working on bibliometric networks. This package heavily relies on igraph and tidygraph, and aims at producing ready-made networks for projecting them using ggraph.
networkflow
OEconomia special issue: Quantitative and Computational Approaches in the Social Studies of Economics
This call for papers aims at stimulating new scholarly contributions that use quantitative and computational methods in the social studies of economics. We intend to attract papers that apply these methods to offer insights and new stories about economics, its evolution, and its role in policymaking.
OEconomia special issue: Quantitative and Computational Approaches in the Social Studies of Economics

Publications récentes

Modeling Intervention: The Political element in Barbara Bergmann's micro-to-macro simulation projects
Sur une période de douze ans, Barbara Bergmann a développé plusieurs modèles du marché du travail en utilisant la microsimulation, finalement intégrés dans un ‘modèle de transactions’ de l’ensemble de l’économie américaine, construit avec Robert Bennett et publié en 1986. L’article reconstruit l’histoire de cette entreprise de modélisation dans le contexte des débats sur les fondements microéconomiques de la macroéconomie et le rôle de l’expertise macroéconomique depuis la stagflation des années 1970 jusqu’à la fin des années 1980. Il montre comment un élément politique - l’accent mis sur les effets distributifs des politiques - a été au cœur de sa critique de la modélisation macroéconomique et comment ses positions épistémiques et politiques ont été de plus en plus marginalisées dans les années 1980.
Preprint Citation SocArxiv
Modeling Intervention: The Political element in Barbara Bergmann's micro-to-macro simulation projects
The ECB and the Inflation Monsters: Strategic Framing and the Responsibility Imperative (1998-2023)
The recent resurgence of inflation in Europe has led the ECB to increase interest rates and phase out asset purchase programs designed to address the effects of the Great Financial Crisis. This article investigates how the ECB adjusts its logic of responsibility throughout this series of crises. Using a topic model and in-depth analysis of speeches, we examine the ECB’s strategic framing of causal linkages related to inflation during three historical periods: the Central Bank Independence (CBI) era (1998-2011), the secular stagnation era (2011-2021), and the new inflation era (2021-). Our findings indicate that modifications made to the CBI’s causal linkages during the secular stagnation era shaped the ECB’s framing of the new inflation era in a novel way. However, despite acknowledging difficult policy tradeoffs, which they tended to obscure in the past, ECB policymakers still seek to uphold the imperative of responsibility by adapting it to varying policy contexts.
Preprint Citation Appendice 1 Appendice 2
The ECB and the Inflation Monsters: Strategic Framing and the Responsibility Imperative (1998-2023)
An Independent European Macroeconomics? A History of European Macroeconomics through the Lens of the European Economic Review
Economics in Europe has encountered a process of internationalisation since the 1970s. To a certain extent, this internationalisation is also an ‘Americanisation’ and many European departments and economics have adopted the standards of US economics, notably mathematical modelling, the use of econometrics, and the neoclassical theory as a modelling benchmark. Regarding this process, we can wonder if European economics has just been mimicking US economics since the 1970s, or if some European specialities have survived or emerged.
Preprint Citation Code Appendice Publication
An Independent European Macroeconomics? A History of European Macroeconomics through the Lens of the European Economic Review
To Change or not to Change: The Evolution of Forecasting Models at the Bank of England
In this article, we document the way modellers navigate between modelling choices, based on (1) the modellers’ own dispositions, which depend on their training, their academic standards, and their integration in national or international professional networks; (2) the visions of policymakers and executives at different levels of the institution’s hierarchy; and (3) the model’s function, which is shaped by the institution’s organisation and mandates—any model has to be (at least partly) successful in the accomplishment of this function. We use as a case study the Bank of England and the different macroeconometric models developed within the Bank until the most recent one (COMPASS). This case study helps us to better understand the constraints to which modellers are confronted.
PDF Citation Projet Rebuilding Macroeconomics
To Change or not to Change: The Evolution of Forecasting Models at the Bank of England
Six Decades of Economic Research at the Bank of England
This paper discusses the transformation of the content, role, and status of economic research at the Bank of England (BoE) in the past 60 years. We show how three factors (policy functions and missions of the Bank, its organisational structure, and the attitude of its executives towards economics) shaped the evolution of in-house BoE economic research during three distinctive periods (1960-1991; 1992-2007; 2007 - 2020). Our account relies on a broad set of sources and methods (BoE publications, archives, interviews with current and former BoE economists, citation analysis, prosopography, and topic modelling).
Citation Preprint Appendix Projet Rebuilding Macroeconomics
Six Decades of Economic Research at the Bank of England
Plus de publications